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Panel Summary Report: The Impact of COVID-19 on Canada’s Foreign Policy

By Sarah Sutherland and Bailey Cordrey


On September 23, 2020, the Institute for Peace and Diplomacy (IPD) held a virtual panel discussion on “The Impact of COVID-19 on Canada’s Foreign Policy.” Supported by the Department of National Defence’s Mobilizing Insights in Defence and Security (MINDS) program, the discussion was part of IPD’s series on the impact of COVID-19 on international peace and security.

The discussion brought together experts from various sectors to discuss the intricacies of how the COVID-19 pandemic has transformed Canada’s global strategy. The ultimate aim of this conversation was to identify how Canada could apply lessons from the pandemic to rethink its approach to international affairs and refocus its diplomatic attention on key areas like gender equality, humanitarian aid, and stronger bilateral ties. We were pleased to have the Honourable Sergio Marchi, Canada’s former Ambassador to the World Trade Organization and United Nations in Geneva; Dr. Erica Di Ruggiero, Director of the Centre for Global Health at the University of Toronto; and Mr. Wesley Wark, a Senior Fellow at the Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI), on the panel to discuss such crucial issues. 

Moderated by Catherine Clark, Co-Founder of The Honest Talk, the discussion focused on Canada’s shifting priorities—particularly in the context of rising tensions between the United States and China. Ms. Clark began by asking the panelists how Canadian foreign policy should change in the wake of the pandemic, and how this shift should take place. Mr. Marchi noted that Canada must “be more active and engaged with bilateral relations […] than we are now.” This is primarily because most coordinated action against COVID-19 has come from national and subnational governments, rather than global networks such as the United Nations (UN). To catalyze international action and combat mis/disinformation, the UN should be used as a key forum for regularly sharing evidence-based pandemic response recommendations from the Secretary-General’s office. Such an approach could better facilitate technology and information transfers to countries lacking public health resources, resulting in a safer environment for everyone. 

Dr. Di Ruggiero echoed Mr. Marchi’s points, noting that we “should welcome a full foreign policy review,” as the pandemic has drawn attention to crucial cracks in our national and international emergency response systems. COVID-19 has exposed “massive inequalities in our health system,” and to ensure that Canada emerges stably out of the pandemic, a thorough policy review is absolutely essential. To best account for such glaring externalities, Dr. Di Ruggiero suggested that “all Canadians need to have a voice in the review.” 

Mr. Wark added that Canada must also consider how it can reinforce multilateral systems, as their maintenance is central to the stability of critical supply chains. Mr. Wark was of the opinion that Canada could have more effectively leveraged its multilateral networks during the early stages of the pandemic to fully understand the scope of the virus’ risks—particularly given the rampant disinformation campaigns that have since emerged. 

Ms. Clark followed up by asking the panelists to shed light on how Canada could support coordinated global governance through membership in various international forums outside of the UN. Given the wide scope of Canada’s foreign policy objectives, Mr. Marchi noted that Canada would need to “clarify and renew [its] priorities” globally. He further echoed Dr. Di Ruggiero’s earlier point that a comprehensive foreign policy review was needed, as decades had passed since the last one of its kind. In order to undertake such a monumental task, the panelists were in consensus that the federal government should form an all-party parliamentary committee, composed of both House and Senate members, to devise a set of recommendations for the federal government. 

Part of this review—and forthcoming foreign policy strategy—should also include reinvestment in Canada’s diplomacy infrastructure, as such work has been consistently underfunded over the past two decades. Mr. Marchi highlighted that “if we want to have a robust, meaningful foreign policy, Canada cannot approach the world” with scarce resources. This position was also held by Mr. Wark, who suggested that other international forums, such as the Five Eyes Intelligence Partnership, have the potential to become a forum for expansive Canadian engagement and leadership. The G20 presents a similar opportunity for revitalized multilateralism under Canadian influence, given its more “diverse and globalized membership.” As the United States continues to regress from international leadership, Canada is perfectly positioned to take on a prominent role in key global forums.

Ms. Clark asked Dr. Di Ruggiero to explain the emerging concept of ‘global health diplomacy,’ and position its importance within Canada’s domestic health sector. Dr. Di Ruggiero underscored the significance of maintaining resilient health systems because global distribution of a COVID-19 vaccine would be impossible, if not for strong national networks. To meet the challenges of fighting a global pandemic, the health sector has expanded to include unconventional public, private, and non-profit actors—all competing for the same pool of resources. To play to the strengths of such a large network, a clear set of global and context-specific priorities, akin to the Sustainable Development Goals, should be established by an international health authority. Dr. Di Ruggiero suggested the World Health Organization (WHO) and highlighted its dilemma to perform such important and life-saving duties while suffering from a chronic lack of funds and resources. The importance of multilateralism in funding these initiatives and organizations cannot be understated; however, the domestic pressures of COVID-19 are pushing states to adopt increasingly protectionist and nationalistic measures. 

Dr. Di Ruggiero also offered a glimpse of the important work undertaken by the University of Toronto, alongside the Office of International Affairs and the Geneva Institute, to develop best practices and training materials intended to support the momentum towards global health diplomacy. 

Addressing a question from the audience, Ms. Clark asked the panelists about the possible repercussions of Joe Biden winning the November American election, in light of such heavy damage inflicted against bilateral relations under the authority of the Trump administration. The Canadian-American relationship has arguably hit a new low over the last four years, noted Mr. Marchi. He suggested that a Biden presidency would offer an “opportunity of resetting this relationship that has gone astray,” although Canada may still have to guard itself on the trade front.

Another diplomatic relationship of concern for Canada is the one it shares with China. Mr. Wark argued that this relationship is strained by China’s perception of Canada. Their government does not see Canada as a strong middle power; rather, it views Canada as a “minor and annoying ally of the United States.” This perception was confirmed with the arrest of Meng Wanzhou under an extradition treaty Canada shares with the United States. Until Canada can offer a new narrative, Mr. Wark believes the relationship will remain in what he considers to be a “deep freeze.” To counter, the idea of a Western coalition that could effectively leverage more balanced relations with China was discussed between Mr. Marchi and Dr. Di Ruggiero.

Canada’s ‘Feminist International Policy’ was also discussed in relation to the federal government’s actions both abroad and domestically. Dr. Di Ruggiero emphasized that COVID-19 has helped show that “there are disproportionate impacts on different parts of the population and it is not the great equalizer.” In times of crisis, women (and women of colour in particular) experience greater health-insecurity; and more than 70 percent of the health workforce is made up of women, thereby increasing proximity to communicable viruses. Dr. Di Ruggiero also discussed the possibility that we are entering a ‘She-cession,’ in which women are increasingly pushed out of the workforce due to the instability that characterizes culturally feminine jobs. There is room for Canada to spearhead a global response to the approaching ‘She-cession’ and ensure that women remain a central part of the economy.

Speaking to a question from the audience, Mr. Wark noted that although the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) may be a military alliance, it could still leverage its influence in relation to understanding European regional politics and addressing threats from Russia. He further underscored that there are other international forums in which Canada could engage to carry forth coordinated international action on issues of global importance.

Turning to Mr. Marchi, Ms. Clark questioned how the federal government could reasonably expect Canadians to invest in other country’s economies, at a time when many feel compelled to support domestic businesses. Although it’s a challenging balance, Mr. Marchi offered that if “we don’t address the challenges of the globe, those challenges are going to end up at our doorstep.” He pointed to the refugee crises as a prime example: the world failed to adopt a rights-respecting global migration policy, leaving each state to develop their own individual strategies that fundamentally lack the capacity to deal with its root causes. A dollar invested abroad is, therefore, a dollar invested in Canada because the global connectivity of our economic systems has ensured that we cannot be indifferent to international needs. 

Dr. Di Ruggiero noted that she and her colleagues have signed a statement of support to the COVID-19 Vaccine Global Access Facility, which aims to provide “equitable access to safe and effective vaccines.” Though there is immense pressure to develop a vaccine as soon as possible, we cannot compromise on quality or safety for the sake of speed. Dr. Di Ruggiero also shared that the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovation—which brings together the GAVI Alliance and the WHO—has been created to accelerate the creation and dispersal of vaccines. This is particularly notable considering that over ninety states participating in the Coalition would otherwise be shut-out from accessing COVID-19 vaccines when they come to market. Countries like Canada should therefore continue investing in similar international coalitions to ensure that all people have equal access to crucial equipment and medicine. 

Changing pace, Mr. Wark noted that intelligence breakdowns contributed to Canada’s failed early pandemic response. The Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC), created in 2004, was tasked with conducting both domestic and international health surveillance activities. However, it is clear that Canada and its agencies suffered “a serious failure of early warning with regards to the outbreak of COVID-19 in China and its progress globally.” Mr. Wark supplied that Canada was unable to act on the information sources it had available, including the Global Public Health Intelligence Network, in the early stages of the pandemic. Canada also failed to undertake a sufficient risk assessment of the virus and its potential impacts—as the threat assessment made by PHAC between January and mid-March indicated the risk to Canada was low. “That was a terrible failure of judgement and we have to look at the system […] that produced such bad threat assessments,” noted Mr. Wark.

In part, this failure was due to the fact that PHAC was, for all intents and purposes, isolated from the rest of Canada’s security and intelligence infrastructure. Mr. Wark concluded that such a siloed approach is no longer appropriate given that global health security crises are also national security crises.

To close the panel discussion, an audience member questioned how Canada could realistically change China’s perception of the nation going forward. One of the central issues, argued Mr. Marchi, is that the “China of 2016 is no longer the China of 2020.” From the arrests of Michael Kovrig and Michael Spavor to retaliatory Chinese tariffs against Canada following the arrest of Meng Wanzhou in Vancouver, China has shifted its stance on global diplomacy. It was underscored that many Canadian leaders across public and private venues alike are interested in increasing national manufacturing capacity. Mr. Wark noted that although Canada may not be able to completely decouple its economy and trade from China, the country can work towards manufacturing key pieces of critical infrastructure. Overall, panelists agreed that Canada should initiate discussions on how to secure post-pandemic supply chains and internalize the production of nationally significant goods.

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Panel 4: Pathways to Manage Non-Proliferation in the Middle East (4:30 PM - 5:45 PM ET)

The Western powers have failed to effectively manage the increasing threat of proliferation in the Middle East. While the international community is concerned with Iran’s nuclear program, Saudi Arabia has moved forward with developing its own nuclear program, and independent studies show that Israel has longed possessed dozens of nuclear warheads. The former is a member of the treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), while the latter has refused to sign the international agreement. 

On Middle East policy, the Biden campaign had staunchly criticized the Trump administration’s unilateral withdrawal from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), more commonly known as the Iran Nuclear Deal and it has begun re-engaging Iran on the nuclear dossier since assuming office in January 2021. However, serious obstacles remain for responsible actors in expanding non-proliferation efforts toward a nuclear-free zone in the Middle East. 

This panel will discuss how Western powers and multilateral institutions, such as the IAEA, can play a more effective role in managing non-proliferation efforts in the Middle East.  

Panelists:

Peggy Mason: Canada’s former Ambassador to the UN for Disarmament

Mark Fitzpatrick: Associate Fellow & Former Executive Director, International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS)

Ali Vaez: Iran Project Director, International Crisis Group

Negar Mortazavi: Journalist and Political Analyst, Host of Iran Podcast

David Albright: Founder and President of the Institute for Science and International Security

 

Closing (5:45 PM – 6:00 PM ET)

Panel 3: Trade and Business Diplomacy in the Middle East (3:00 PM - 4:15 PM ET)

What is the current economic landscape in the Middle East? While global foreign direct investment is expected to fall drastically in the post-COVID era, the World Bank reported a 5% contraction in the economic output of the Middle East and North African (MENA) countries in 2020 due to the pandemic. While oil prices are expected to rebound with normalization in demand, political instability, regional and geopolitical tensions, domestic corruption, and a volatile regulatory and legal environment all threaten economic recovery in the Middle East. What is the prospect for economic growth and development in the region post-pandemic, and how could MENA nations promote sustainable growth and regional trade moving forward?

At the same time, Middle Eastern diaspora communities have become financially successful and can help promote trade between North America and the region. In this respect, the diaspora can become vital intermediaries for advancing U.S. and Canada’s business interests abroad. Promoting business diplomacy can both benefit the MENA region and be an effective and positive way to advance engagement and achieve foreign policy goals of the North Atlantic.

This panel will investigate the trade and investment opportunities in the Middle East, discuss how facilitating economic engagement with the region can benefit Canadian and American national interests, and explore relevant policy prescriptions.

Panelists:

Hon. Sergio Marchi: Canada’s Former Minister of International Trade

Scott Jolliffe: Chairperson, Canada Arab Business Council

Esfandyar Batmanghelidj: Founder and Publisher of Bourse & Bazaar

Nizar Ghanem: Director of Research and Co-founder at Triangle

Nicki Siamaki: Researcher at Control Risks

Panel 2: Arms Race and Terrorism in the Middle East (12:00 PM - 1:15 PM ET)

The Middle East continues to grapple with violence and instability, particularly in Yemen, Syria and Iraq. Fueled by government incompetence and foreign interventions, terrorist insurgencies have imposed severe humanitarian and economic costs on the region. Meanwhile, regional actors have engaged in an unprecedented pursuit of arms accumulation. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have imported billions of both Western and Russian-made weapons and funded militant groups across the region, intending to contain their regional adversaries, particularly Iran. Tehran has also provided sophisticated weaponry to various militia groups across the region to strengthen its geopolitical position against Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Israel. 

On the other hand, with international terrorist networks and intense regional rivalry in the Middle East, it is impractical to discuss peace and security without addressing terrorism and the arms race in the region. This panel will primarily discuss the implications of the ongoing arms race in the region and the role of Western powers and multilateral organizations in facilitating trust-building security arrangements among regional stakeholders to limit the proliferation of arms across the Middle East.

 

Panelists:

Luciano Zaccara: Assistant Professor, Qatar University

Dania Thafer: Executive Director, Gulf International Forum

Kayhan Barzegar: Professor and Chair of the Department of Political Science and International Relations at the Science and Research Branch of Azad University

Barbara Slavin: Director of Iran Initiative, Atlantic Council

Sanam Shantyaei: Senior Journalist at France24 & host of Middle East Matters

Panel 1: Future of Diplomacy and Engagement in the Middle East (10:30 AM-11:45 AM ET)

The emerging regional order in West Asia will have wide-ranging implications for global security. The Biden administration has begun re-engaging Iran on the nuclear dossier, an initiative staunchly opposed by Israel, while also taking a harder line on Saudi Arabia’s intervention in Yemen. Meanwhile, key regional actors, including Qatar, Iraq, and Oman, have engaged in backchannel efforts to bring Iran and Saudi Arabia to the negotiating table. From a broader geopolitical perspective, with the need to secure its energy imports, China is also expected to increase its footprint in the region and influence the mentioned challenges. 

In this evolving landscape, Western powers will be compelled to redefine their strategic priorities and adjust their policies with the new realities in the region. In this panel, we will discuss how the West, including the United States and its allies, can utilize multilateral diplomacy with its adversaries to prevent military escalation in the region. Most importantly, the panel will discuss if a multilateral security dialogue in the Persian Gulf region, proposed by some regional actors, can help reduce tensions among regional foes and produce sustainable peace and development for the region. 

Panelists:

Abdullah Baabood: Academic Researcher and Former Director of the Centre for Gulf Studies, Qatar University

Trita Parsi: Executive Vice-President, Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft

Ebtesam Al-Ketbi: President, Emirates Policy Centre​

Jon Allen: Canada’s Former Ambassador to Israel

Elizabeth Hagedorn: Washington correspondent for Al-Monitor

Panel 4: Humanitarian Diplomacy: An Underused Foreign Policy Tool in the Middle East (4:30 PM - 5:30 PM ET)

Military interventions, political and economic instabilities, and civil unrest in the Middle East have led to a global refugee crisis with an increasing wave of refugees and asylum seekers to Europe and Canada. Moreover, the COVID-19 pandemic has, in myriad ways, exacerbated and contributed to the ongoing security threats and destabilization of the region.

While these challenges pose serious risks to Canadian security, Ottawa will also have the opportunity to limit such risks and prevent a spillover effect vis-à-vis effective humanitarian initiatives in the region. In this panel, we will primarily investigate Canada’s Middle East Strategy’s degree of success in providing humanitarian aid to the region. Secondly, the panel will discuss what programs and initiatives Canada can introduce to further build on the renewed strategy. and more specifically, how Canada can utilize its policy instruments to more effectively deal with the increasing influx of refugees from the Middle East. 

 

Panelists:

Erica Di Ruggiero: Director of Centre for Global Health, University of Toronto

Reyhana Patel: Head of Communications & Government Relations, Islamic Relief Canada

Amir Barmaki: Former Head of UN OCHA in Iran

Catherine Gribbin: Senior Legal Advisor for International and Humanitarian Law, Canadian Red Cross

Panel 3: A Review of Canada’s Middle East Engagement and Defense Strategy (3:00 PM - 4:15 PM ET)

In 2016, Canada launched an ambitious five-year “Middle East Engagement Strategy” (2016-2021), committing to investing CA$3.5 billion over five years to help establish the necessary conditions for security and stability, alleviate human suffering and enable stabilization programs in the region. In the latest development, during the meeting of the Global Coalition against ISIS, Minister of Foreign Affairs Marc Garneau announced more than $43.6 million in Peace and Stabilization Operations Program funding for 11 projects in Syria and Iraq.

With Canada’s Middle East Engagement Strategy expiring this year, it is time to examine and evaluate this massive investment in the Middle East region in the past five years. More importantly, the panel will discuss a principled and strategic roadmap for the future of Canada’s short-term and long-term engagement in the Middle East.

Panelists:

Ferry de Kerckhove: Canada’s Former Ambassador to Egypt

Dennis Horak: Canada’s Former Ambassador to Saudi Arabia

Chris Kilford: Former Canadian Defence Attaché in Turkey, member of the national board of the Canadian International Council (CIC)

David Dewitt: University Professor Emeritus, York University

Panel 2: The Great Power Competition in the Middle East (12:00 PM - 1:15 PM ET)

While the United States continues to pull back from certain regional conflicts, reflected by the Biden administration’s decision to halt American backing for Saudi Arabia’s intervention in Yemen and the expected withdrawal from Afghanistan, US troops continue to be stationed across the region. Meanwhile, Russia and China have significantly maintained and even expanded their regional activities. On one hand, the Kremlin has maintained its military presence in Syria, and on the other hand, China has signed an unprecedented 25-year strategic agreement with Iran.

As the global power structure continues to shift, it is essential to analyze the future of the US regional presence under the Biden administration, explore the emerging global rivalry with Russia and China, and at last, investigate the implications of such competition for peace and security in the Middle East.

Panelists:

Dmitri Trenin: Director of Carnegie Moscow Center

Joost R. Hiltermann: Director of MENA Programme, International Crisis Group

Roxane Farmanfarmaian: Affiliated Lecturer in International Relations of the Middle East and North Africa, University of Cambridge

Andrew A. Michta: Dean of the College of International and Security Studies at Marshall Center

Kelley Vlahos: Senior Advisor, Quincy Institute

Panel 1: A New Middle East Security Architecture in the Making (10:30 AM -11:45 AM ET)

The security architecture of the Middle East has undergone rapid transformations in an exceptionally short period. Notable developments include the United States gradual withdrawal from the region, rapprochement between Israel and some GCC states through the Abraham Accords and the rise of Chinese and Russian regional engagement.

With these new trends in the Middle East, it is timely to investigate the security implications of the Biden administration’s Middle East policy. In this respect, we will discuss the Biden team’s new approach vis-à-vis Iran, Yemen, Saudi Arabia, and Israel. The panel will also discuss the role of other major powers, including China and Russia in shaping this new security environment in the region, and how the Biden administration will respond to these powers’ increasing regional presence.

 

Panelists:

Sanam Vakil: Deputy Director of MENA Programme at Chatham House

Denise Natali: Acting Director, Institute for National Strategic Studies & Director of the Center for Strategic Research, National Defense University

Hassan Ahmadian: Professor of the Middle East and North Africa Studies, University of Tehran

Abdulaziz Sagar: Chairman, Gulf Research Center

Andrew Parasiliti: President, Al-Monitor