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Iran Strategy Course

Beyond the War: Geopolitical Risk, Energy Security, and Strategic Realignment

Live Online · November 7 – 22, 2026

About

This course is offered through IPD’s Applied Geopolitics & Strategy Program, which combines geopolitical analysis, strategic foresight and policy training.

For decades, Iran has dominated international headlines, intelligence assessments and foreign policy debates. Yet sustained attention has not consistently translated into a deeper understanding of the Islamic Republic and the strategic thinking guiding its actions.

The Iran war underscores the grave consequences of misreading Tehran, from overlooking the country’s strategic resilience and counter-escalatory capabilities to misjudging the geopolitical risks and economic exposure. The war’s implications extend beyond the battlefield to energy markets, maritime security, and the regional order.

Drawing on IPD’s global network and years of research and multi-track diplomacy in the Middle East, the Iran Strategy Course offers a rare opportunity for direct engagement with leading scholars, strategists and practitioners from Iran, the United States, China and the GCC. 

Discussions under the Chatham House Rule provide a candid, inclusive setting for selected professionals to examine the strategic thinking shaping decisions across key capitals, critically assess competing perspectives and connect these insights to their organizations’ risks and priorities. 

Across seven live sessions combining interactive lectures, workshops and a real-world simulation, participants will develop analytical skills and applied knowledge to test assumptions, assess possible scenarios and make informed decisions under uncertainty.

Instructors

Hassan Ahmadian
Dr. Hassan Ahmadian
Associate Professor of Middle East and North Africa Studies, University of Tehran
Dave-Des-Roches-Headshot
Col. David Des Roches
Professor, Thayer Marshall Institute
Danny Citrinowicz
Danny Citrinowicz
Senior Researcher, Iran and the Shi'ite Axis Program, Institute for National Security Studies; Non-Resident Senior Fellow, Scowcroft Middle East Security Initiative, Atlantic Council
Kayhan Barzegar
Dr. Kayhan Barzegar
Professor and Chair of the Department of Political Science and International Relations, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University
Rashid Al-Mohanadi
Rashid Al-Mohanadi
Vice President, Center for International Policy Research; Nonresident Fellow, Middle East Council on Global Affairs

Course Overview

The Making of Iranian Foreign Policy

Strategic Culture, Power Centers, and the Politics of Consensus

November 7, 2026

Dr. Kayhan Barzegar

Dr. Kayhan Barzegar

Professor and Chair of the Department of Political Science and International Relations, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Iran

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This session examines the strategic culture, historical experiences and power structures that shape Tehran’s calculus. Participants will explore continuity and change in Iran’s grand strategy and how the Islamic Republic makes foreign policy and national security decisions. Particular attention will be paid to the role of key institutions, how elite consensus is formed, and how competing perspectives and institutional interests shape policy.

Tehran’s Military Doctrine

Integrated Deterrence, Strategic Endurance, and the Pursuit of Escalation Dominance

November 8, 2026

Dr. Hassan Ahmadian

Dr. Hassan Ahmadian

Associate Professor of Middle East and North Africa Studies, University of Tehran, Iran

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This session examines the evolution of Iranian military doctrine after successive conflicts, including its mosaic defence strategy, asymmetric capabilities, hybrid warfare tactics, and the systematic disruption of maritime chokepoints and energy flows as instruments of deterrence and bargaining.

Washington’s Iran Strategy

Military Power, Coercive Diplomacy, and the Politics of Trump’s Dealmaking

November 11, 2026

Col. David Des Roches

Col. David Des Roches

Professor, Thayer Marshall Institute, United States

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This session examines the strategic objectives and political calculations shaping Washington’s post-war Iran strategy. Drawing on lessons from Operations Midnight Hammer and Epic Fury, participants will assess whether Washington’s continued military posture, economic pressure and coercive diplomacy will advance the Trump administration’s objectives vis-à-vis the Islamic Republic. The discussion will explore how Iranian retaliation, domestic politics, Israeli priorities, and regional security interests shape Washington’s strategic options and the future of U.S.-Iran relations.

Tel Aviv’s Iran Strategy

Security Doctrine, Regional Ambitions, and the Search for an Endgame

November 14, 2026

Danny Citrinowicz

Danny Citrinowicz

Senior Researcher, Iran and the Shi'ite Axis Program, Institute for National Security Studies; Non-Resident Senior Fellow, Scowcroft Middle East Security Initiative, Atlantic Council

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This session examines the security doctrine, threat perceptions and regional ambitions shaping Israel’s strategy toward Iran in the post-October 7 Middle East. Participants will explore how Israeli assessments of Iran’s nuclear programme, military capabilities and regional networks guide its strategic choices, and whether tactical gains can translate into Israel’s preferred security order. The session will also consider Israeli objectives in Gaza and Lebanon and how developments on those fronts could shape Tel Aviv's policy toward Iran. The discussion will further examine Israel’s upcoming elections and their aftermath, considering how electoral outcomes, coalition dynamics and domestic political pressures could affect policy toward Tehran and coordination with Washington.

Beijing’s Iran Strategy

Energy Interests, Regional Partnerships, and Great Power Competition

November 15, 2026

Instructor from China

Instructor from China

To be announced

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This session examines China’s response to the Iran war and the strategic calculations shaping Beijing’s post-war role in the Middle East. Participants will explore how energy security and geoeconomic interests influence China’s engagement with the region amid heightened U.S.–China competition. The discussion will distinguish diplomatic alignment from material support, assess where Chinese priorities converge with or diverge from Tehran’s expectations, and consider the implications for the future of Sino-Iranian cooperation as well as the country’s broader relations with Middle Eastern countries.

The GCC in the Post-War Regional Order

Mediation, Collective Security, and Economic Integration

November 18, 2026

Rashid Al-Mohanadi

Rashid Al-Mohanadi

Vice President, Center for International Policy Research; Nonresident Fellow, Middle East Council on Global Affairs, Qatar

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This session examines GCC’s efforts to balance deterrence and engagement with Iran while diversifying its security partnerships following the Iran war. Participants will explore the role of Qatar in mediation and confidence-building initiatives aimed at reducing mistrust and escalation risks among parties to conflicts, including Iran and the United States. The discussion will assess potential regional security arrangements and whether shared interests in recovery, trade and investment can support economic integration and a more inclusive regional order.

Global Shockwaves

Energy Markets, Maritime Security, and Trade Corridors

November 21, 2026

Instructor from GCC

Instructor from GCC

To be announced

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This session examines the Iran war’s implications for global energy markets, maritime security and trade corridors. Participants will assess how disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea affect energy prices, shipping and insurance costs, and supply chain systems. The discussion will explore the capacity and limitations of alternative routes, the conditions for restoring secure navigation and reliable energy flows, and the economic exposure of importing and exporting countries.

Through the Backchannel

A Live Regional Negotiation Simulation

November 22, 2026

Mediation Team

Mediation Team

Institute for Peace & Diplomacy

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This session explores backchannel diplomacy, mediation and multitrack dialogue in the context of the Iran war and the emerging Middle Eastern order. In a live simulation, participants will represent regional and international actors, using direct negotiations and intermediaries to manage escalation, build coalitions and negotiate competing security and economic interests.

Who Should Apply

This course is designed for professionals following and assessing geopolitical risks emerging from the Iran war and their implications for the global economy, energy markets, maritime security and regional order. Relevant roles and sectors include:

Civil servants

Private sector professionals

Diplomats

Military

International organizations

NGOs

Academia

Media

Next Steps

1

Register your interest

Complete the online form. Early registrants receive priority consideration.
2

Receive further details

Following review, selected registrants will receive fee details, the full schedule and instructions for completing their application.
3

Confirm your spot

Successful applicants will receive an admission offer and payment instructions to confirm their participation.

Course Dates

November 7 – 21, 2026

Early Registration Deadline

October 5, 2026

Admissions

Rolling basis until filled

FAQ

Complete the early registration form by October 5, 2026, for priority consideration. Following review, selected registrants will receive the course fee, full schedule and instructions for completing their application.

Admission is highly selective and offered on a rolling basis until places are filled. Successful applicants will receive an admission offer and payment instructions to confirm their participation.

The course runs entirely online from November 7–22, 2026, across seven live, 90-minute sessions. Sessions take place primarily on weekends, with two weekday sessions on November 11 and 18.

The format combines expert-led lectures, interactive discussions, workshops and a concluding live group simulation. Participants should plan for approximately five to six hours per week. Selected early registrants will receive the full timetable, including session times and time zones, before completing their application.

Yes. This is a paid course. Selected early registrants will receive fee details before general applications open, together with information on AGSP alumni discounts, referral discounts and eligibility requirements.

Payment instructions will accompany admission offers, allowing successful applicants to confirm their place.

The course will bring together a carefully selected international cohort of senior, mid-career and emerging professionals from government, the military, business, international organizations, think tanks, academia, media and civil society.

Enrolment is limited to support direct engagement with instructors, active participation in exercises and substantive exchange among peers.

The course brings together scholars, strategists and practitioners with expertise in geopolitics, diplomacy, energy markets, maritime security and regional affairs.

Confirmed instructors and their biographies are listed on the course page. Further instructors will be announced soon as their participation is confirmed.

Yes. Sessions follow the Chatham House Rule to encourage candid discussion and open exchange. Participants may use information shared during the sessions, but must not disclose speakers’ or participants’ identities or affiliations, or attribute remarks to them.

Recordings of selected sessions will be available exclusively to enrolled participants for the duration of the course. Live participation is encouraged to make the most of discussions, group exercises and the negotiation simulation.

Yes. Participants who complete the course will receive a digital Certificate of Completion issued by the Institute for Peace & Diplomacy.

Yes. Interactive discussions, group exercises and the negotiation simulation provide opportunities to exchange perspectives and build professional connections across sectors and countries. The small cohort is designed to support meaningful engagement throughout the course.

Graduates join IPD’s AGSP alumni network. Benefits include discounts on future courses, alumni events, webinars and briefings, and opportunities for continued engagement with instructors and fellow participants.

Alumni can also explore opportunities to contribute to IPD publications and programming.

Colleagues applying from the same organization or institution may be eligible for a group discount. Please contact AGSP@peacediplomacy.org to discuss group participation. Each applicant remains subject to the course’s admissions process.

For questions about eligibility, registration, fees or group participation, contact AGSP@peacediplomacy.org. A member of the program team will be happy to assist you.

Panel 4: Pathways to Manage Non-Proliferation in the Middle East (4:30 PM - 5:45 PM ET)

The Western powers have failed to effectively manage the increasing threat of proliferation in the Middle East. While the international community is concerned with Iran’s nuclear program, Saudi Arabia has moved forward with developing its own nuclear program, and independent studies show that Israel has longed possessed dozens of nuclear warheads. The former is a member of the treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), while the latter has refused to sign the international agreement. 

On Middle East policy, the Biden campaign had staunchly criticized the Trump administration’s unilateral withdrawal from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), more commonly known as the Iran Nuclear Deal and it has begun re-engaging Iran on the nuclear dossier since assuming office in January 2021. However, serious obstacles remain for responsible actors in expanding non-proliferation efforts toward a nuclear-free zone in the Middle East. 

This panel will discuss how Western powers and multilateral institutions, such as the IAEA, can play a more effective role in managing non-proliferation efforts in the Middle East.  

Panelists:

– Peggy Mason: Canada’s former Ambassador to the UN for Disarmament

– Mark Fitzpatrick: Associate Fellow & Former Executive Director, International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS)

– Ali Vaez: Iran Project Director, International Crisis Group

– Negar Mortazavi: Journalist and Political Analyst, Host of Iran Podcast

– David Albright: Founder and President of the Institute for Science and International Security

 

Closing (5:45 PM – 6:00 PM ET)

Panel 3: Trade and Business Diplomacy in the Middle East (3:00 PM - 4:15 PM ET)

What is the current economic landscape in the Middle East? While global foreign direct investment is expected to fall drastically in the post-COVID era, the World Bank reported a 5% contraction in the economic output of the Middle East and North African (MENA) countries in 2020 due to the pandemic. While oil prices are expected to rebound with normalization in demand, political instability, regional and geopolitical tensions, domestic corruption, and a volatile regulatory and legal environment all threaten economic recovery in the Middle East. What is the prospect for economic growth and development in the region post-pandemic, and how could MENA nations promote sustainable growth and regional trade moving forward?

At the same time, Middle Eastern diaspora communities have become financially successful and can help promote trade between North America and the region. In this respect, the diaspora can become vital intermediaries for advancing U.S. and Canada’s business interests abroad. Promoting business diplomacy can both benefit the MENA region and be an effective and positive way to advance engagement and achieve foreign policy goals of the North Atlantic.

This panel will investigate the trade and investment opportunities in the Middle East, discuss how facilitating economic engagement with the region can benefit Canadian and American national interests, and explore relevant policy prescriptions.

Panelists:

– Hon. Sergio Marchi: Canada’s Former Minister of International Trade

– Scott Jolliffe: Chairperson, Canada Arab Business Council

– Esfandyar Batmanghelidj: Founder and Publisher of Bourse & Bazaar

– Nizar Ghanem: Director of Research and Co-founder at Triangle

– Nicki Siamaki: Researcher at Control Risks

Panel 2: Arms Race and Terrorism in the Middle East (12:00 PM - 1:15 PM ET)

The Middle East continues to grapple with violence and instability, particularly in Yemen, Syria and Iraq. Fueled by government incompetence and foreign interventions, terrorist insurgencies have imposed severe humanitarian and economic costs on the region. Meanwhile, regional actors have engaged in an unprecedented pursuit of arms accumulation. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have imported billions of both Western and Russian-made weapons and funded militant groups across the region, intending to contain their regional adversaries, particularly Iran. Tehran has also provided sophisticated weaponry to various militia groups across the region to strengthen its geopolitical position against Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Israel. 

On the other hand, with international terrorist networks and intense regional rivalry in the Middle East, it is impractical to discuss peace and security without addressing terrorism and the arms race in the region. This panel will primarily discuss the implications of the ongoing arms race in the region and the role of Western powers and multilateral organizations in facilitating trust-building security arrangements among regional stakeholders to limit the proliferation of arms across the Middle East.

 

Panelists:

Luciano Zaccara: Assistant Professor, Qatar University

Dania Thafer: Executive Director, Gulf International Forum

Kayhan Barzegar: Professor and Chair of the Department of Political Science and International Relations at the Science and Research Branch of Azad University

Barbara Slavin: Director of Iran Initiative, Atlantic Council

Sanam Shantyaei: Senior Journalist at France24 & host of Middle East Matters

Panel 1: Future of Diplomacy and Engagement in the Middle East (10:30 AM-11:45 AM ET)

The emerging regional order in West Asia will have wide-ranging implications for global security. The Biden administration has begun re-engaging Iran on the nuclear dossier, an initiative staunchly opposed by Israel, while also taking a harder line on Saudi Arabia’s intervention in Yemen. Meanwhile, key regional actors, including Qatar, Iraq, and Oman, have engaged in backchannel efforts to bring Iran and Saudi Arabia to the negotiating table. From a broader geopolitical perspective, with the need to secure its energy imports, China is also expected to increase its footprint in the region and influence the mentioned challenges. 

In this evolving landscape, Western powers will be compelled to redefine their strategic priorities and adjust their policies with the new realities in the region. In this panel, we will discuss how the West, including the United States and its allies, can utilize multilateral diplomacy with its adversaries to prevent military escalation in the region. Most importantly, the panel will discuss if a multilateral security dialogue in the Persian Gulf region, proposed by some regional actors, can help reduce tensions among regional foes and produce sustainable peace and development for the region. 

Panelists:

– Abdullah Baabood: Academic Researcher and Former Director of the Centre for Gulf Studies, Qatar University

– Trita Parsi: Executive Vice-President, Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft

– Ebtesam Al-Ketbi: President, Emirates Policy Centre​

– Jon Allen: Canada’s Former Ambassador to Israel

– Elizabeth Hagedorn: Washington correspondent for Al-Monitor

Panel 4: Humanitarian Diplomacy: An Underused Foreign Policy Tool in the Middle East (4:30 PM - 5:30 PM ET)

Military interventions, political and economic instabilities, and civil unrest in the Middle East have led to a global refugee crisis with an increasing wave of refugees and asylum seekers to Europe and Canada. Moreover, the COVID-19 pandemic has, in myriad ways, exacerbated and contributed to the ongoing security threats and destabilization of the region.

While these challenges pose serious risks to Canadian security, Ottawa will also have the opportunity to limit such risks and prevent a spillover effect vis-à-vis effective humanitarian initiatives in the region. In this panel, we will primarily investigate Canada’s Middle East Strategy’s degree of success in providing humanitarian aid to the region. Secondly, the panel will discuss what programs and initiatives Canada can introduce to further build on the renewed strategy. and more specifically, how Canada can utilize its policy instruments to more effectively deal with the increasing influx of refugees from the Middle East. 

 

Panelists:

Erica Di Ruggiero: Director of Centre for Global Health, University of Toronto

Reyhana Patel: Head of Communications & Government Relations, Islamic Relief Canada

Amir Barmaki: Former Head of UN OCHA in Iran

Catherine Gribbin: Senior Legal Advisor for International and Humanitarian Law, Canadian Red Cross

Panel 3: A Review of Canada’s Middle East Engagement and Defense Strategy (3:00 PM - 4:15 PM ET)

In 2016, Canada launched an ambitious five-year “Middle East Engagement Strategy” (2016-2021), committing to investing CA$3.5 billion over five years to help establish the necessary conditions for security and stability, alleviate human suffering and enable stabilization programs in the region. In the latest development, during the meeting of the Global Coalition against ISIS, Minister of Foreign Affairs Marc Garneau announced more than $43.6 million in Peace and Stabilization Operations Program funding for 11 projects in Syria and Iraq.

With Canada’s Middle East Engagement Strategy expiring this year, it is time to examine and evaluate this massive investment in the Middle East region in the past five years. More importantly, the panel will discuss a principled and strategic roadmap for the future of Canada’s short-term and long-term engagement in the Middle East.

Panelists:

– Ferry de Kerckhove: Canada’s Former Ambassador to Egypt

– Dennis Horak: Canada’s Former Ambassador to Saudi Arabia

– Chris Kilford: Former Canadian Defence Attaché in Turkey, member of the national board of the Canadian International Council (CIC)

– David Dewitt: University Professor Emeritus, York University

Panel 2: The Great Power Competition in the Middle East (12:00 PM - 1:15 PM ET)

While the United States continues to pull back from certain regional conflicts, reflected by the Biden administration’s decision to halt American backing for Saudi Arabia’s intervention in Yemen and the expected withdrawal from Afghanistan, US troops continue to be stationed across the region. Meanwhile, Russia and China have significantly maintained and even expanded their regional activities. On one hand, the Kremlin has maintained its military presence in Syria, and on the other hand, China has signed an unprecedented 25-year strategic agreement with Iran.

As the global power structure continues to shift, it is essential to analyze the future of the US regional presence under the Biden administration, explore the emerging global rivalry with Russia and China, and at last, investigate the implications of such competition for peace and security in the Middle East.

Panelists:

– Dmitri Trenin: Director of Carnegie Moscow Center

– Joost R. Hiltermann: Director of MENA Programme, International Crisis Group

– Roxane Farmanfarmaian: Affiliated Lecturer in International Relations of the Middle East and North Africa, University of Cambridge

– Andrew A. Michta: Dean of the College of International and Security Studies at Marshall Center

– Kelley Vlahos: Senior Advisor, Quincy Institute

Panel 1: A New Middle East Security Architecture in the Making (10:30 AM -11:45 AM ET)

The security architecture of the Middle East has undergone rapid transformations in an exceptionally short period. Notable developments include the United States gradual withdrawal from the region, rapprochement between Israel and some GCC states through the Abraham Accords and the rise of Chinese and Russian regional engagement.

With these new trends in the Middle East, it is timely to investigate the security implications of the Biden administration’s Middle East policy. In this respect, we will discuss the Biden team’s new approach vis-à-vis Iran, Yemen, Saudi Arabia, and Israel. The panel will also discuss the role of other major powers, including China and Russia in shaping this new security environment in the region, and how the Biden administration will respond to these powers’ increasing regional presence.

 

Panelists:

– Sanam Vakil: Deputy Director of MENA Programme at Chatham House

– Denise Natali: Acting Director, Institute for National Strategic Studies & Director of the Center for Strategic Research, National Defense University

– Hassan Ahmadian: Professor of the Middle East and North Africa Studies, University of Tehran

– Abdulaziz Sagar: Chairman, Gulf Research Center

– Andrew Parasiliti: President, Al-Monitor