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Indo-Pacific Strategy Forum 2024

Ottawa · December 10, 2024

In-Person

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The Institute for Peace & Diplomacy (IPD) is delighted to announce the 4th annual Indo-Pacific Strategy Forum (IPSF 2024), to be hosted on December 10, 2024 in downtown Ottawa.

IPSF is the largest conference in Canada on the country’s engagement in the Indo-Pacific region. With support from LNG Canada as the Forum’s Presenting Sponsor, and in partnership with the Institute of Asian Research at UBC’s School of Public Policy and Global Affairs, IPSF 2024 will convene a diverse in-person audience of over 200 federal and provincial officials, diplomats, business leaders, and researchers to exchange ideas, insights and critical thinking on Canada’s foreign policy and trade strategy toward the Indo-Pacific.

This year’s forum comes at a critical juncture, coinciding with Canada’s role as Chair of the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) and the two-year milestone of Canada’s Indo-Pacific Strategy, coupled with a new administration in Washington, D.C. and major elections in the region. Additionally, the imminent completion of LNG Canada’s export facility represents a significant milestone in Canadian energy, enhancing our ability to meet the growing demand for cleaner energy solutions in Asian markets.

IPSF 2024 will gather stakeholders from Canada and across the Indo-Pacific to discuss evolving economic, trade, and geopolitical issues, with a special focus on the role of Canadian energy exports in supporting sustainable development across the region. IPSF 2024 aims to boost enthusiastic participation, facilitate pivotal discussions about Canada’s engagement in the Indo-Pacific, and pave the way for informed action. The forum will feature over 30 speakers, including diplomats, academics, policy experts, and business leaders.

This one-day conference will feature keynote speeches, expert panels, roundtables, and networking sessions, fostering dialogue on regional dynamics and opportunities for collaboration. IPSF 2024 aspires to encourage Canadian engagement in the Indo-Pacific region, and propel collective action towards a more sustainable and prosperous region.

Conference Program

Welcome Remarks

9:00 AM – 9:30 AM

Bijan Ahmadi

Executive Director, Institute for Peace & Diplomacy

Paul Hagel

Head of Communications & Reputation, LNG Canada

Panel — Two Years In: Indo-Pacific Strategy and Canada's Trade Engagements in the Region

9:30 AM – 10:45 AM

Graham Shantz

President, Canada China Business Council; Former Director General, North Pacific, Global Affairs Canada

Roberto Bagnato

Marketing Business Partner, Indo-Pacific Strategy, Export Development Canada

Julie Nguyen

Chair, Canada-ASEAN Initiatives, York Centre for Asian Research, York University; Director, Canada-Vietnam Trade Council

Carlo Dade

Director, Trade and Trade Infrastructure, Canada West Foundation

Sonny Cho

President & CEO, Canada Korea Business Council; Advisor, Institute for Peace & Diplomacy

Jeff Mahon (Moderator)

Director, International Business and Geopolitical Advisory, StrategyCorp Inc.; Former Deputy Director, China Division, Global Affairs Canada

Panel — Fueling Change: Introducing Canada East-Asia Climate Action Partnership

11:00 AM – 12:15 PM

Yushi Suzuki

Executive Researcher, Gas Group, Energy Security Unit, Institute of Energy Economics, Japan

Bob Kubis

Vice President, Americas, Gas & LNG, Consulting, Wood Mackenzie

Taeyoung Jin

Assistant Professor, Department of Mineral Resources and Energy Engineering, Jeonbuk National University

Vince Elenko

Phase 2 Senior GHG Advisor, LNG Canada

Wenran Jiang (Moderator)

Advisor, Institute for Peace & Diplomacy; President, Canada-China Energy and Environment Forum

Lunch and Networking

12:15 PM – 1:00 PM

Panel — Pivot Point: Southeast Asia and Sustaining Peace Amid Regional Uncertainty

1:00 PM – 2:15 PM

Kai Ostwald

Director, Institute of Asian Research; HSBC Chair and Associate Professor, School of Public Policy & Global Affairs, University of British Columbia

Elina Noor (Virtual)

Senior Fellow, Asia Program, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

Nhu Truong

Assistant Professor, Department of Asian Languages and Cultures, University of Wisconsin-Madison

Paul Evans (Moderator)

Professor Emeritus, University of British Columbia

Panel — CPTPP: Navigating Pacific Trade Challenges

2:30 PM – 3:45 PM

Hugh Stephens

Advisor, Institute for Peace & Diplomacy; Former Assistant Deputy Minister, Policy and Communications, Global Affairs Canada

Jeff Mahon

Director, International Business and Geopolitical Advisory, StrategyCorp Inc.; Former Deputy Director, China Division, Global Affairs Canada

Soo Yeon Kim

Associate Professor; Editor, Pacific Affairs; Korea Foundation Chair, University of British Columbia

Paul Jenkins

Senior Fellow, C.D. Howe Institute; Former Senior Deputy Governor, Bank of Canada

Carlo Dade (Moderator)

Director, Trade and Trade Infrastructure, Canada West Foundation

Panel — Sino-American Competition Under a New White House

4:00 PM – 5:15 PM

Jeffrey Reeves (Virtual)

Senior Washington Fellow, Institute for Peace & Diplomacy; Assistant Professor, Naval Postgraduate School, U.S. Naval War College

Dimitar D. Gueorguiev

Associate Professor and Director of Chinese Studies, Syracuse University; China Fellow, Wilson Center; Public Intellectual, National Committee on U.S.-China Relations

Juliet Lu

Assistant Professor, School of Public Policy and Global Affairs, University of British Columbia

Jeremy Paltiel

Senior Fellow, Institute for Peace & Diplomacy; Professor Emeritus, Carleton University

Hugh Stephens (Moderator)

Advisor, Institute for Peace & Diplomacy; Former Assistant Deputy Minister, Policy and Communications, Global Affairs Canada

Networking Reception

5:15 PM – 7:15 PM

Ticket Reservation

*We have a limited number of complimentary tickets available exclusively for Canadian federal and provincial public service members. To request a ticket, please email us from your official work email, including your name, title, and affiliation at info@peacediplomacy.org.

Location

Delta Hotel by Marriott Ottawa City Centre
101 Lyon St. N Ottawa, Ontario

Speakers

Roberto Bagnato
Roberto Bagnato
Marketing Business Partner, Indo-Pacific Strategy, Export Development Canada
Sonny Cho
Sonny Cho
President & CEO, Canada Korea Business Council; Advisor, Institute for Peace & Diplomacy
Carlo Dade
Carlo Dade
Director, Trade and Trade Infrastructure, Canada West Foundation
Vince Elenko
Vince Elenko
Phase 2 Senior GHG Advisor, LNG Canada
Paul Evans
Paul Evans
Professor Emeritus, University of British Columbia
Dimitar D
Dimitar D. Gueorguiev
Associate Professor and Director of Chinese Studies, Syracuse University; China Fellow, Wilson Center; Public Intellectual, National Committee on U.S.-China Relations
Paul Hagel
Paul Hagel
Head of Communications & Reputation, LNG Canada
Paul Jenkins
Paul Jenkins
Senior Fellow, C.D. Howe Institute; Former Senior Deputy Governor, Bank of Canada
Wenran Jiang
Wenran Jiang
Advisor, Institute for Peace & Diplomacy; President, Canada-China Energy and Environment Forum
Taeyoung Jin
Taeyoung Jin
Assistant Professor, Department of Mineral Resources and Energy Engineering, Jeonbuk National University
Soo Yeon Kim
Soo Yeon Kim
Associate Professor; Editor, Pacific Affairs; Korea Foundation Chair, University of British Columbia
Bob Kubis
Bob Kubis
Vice President, Americas, Gas & LNG, Consulting, Wood Mackenzie
Juliet Lu
Juliet Lu
Assistant Professor, School for Public Policy and Global Affairs, University of British Columbia
Jeff Mahon
Jeff Mahon
Director, International Business and Geopolitical Advisory, StrategyCorp Inc.; Former Deputy Director, China Division, Global Affairs Canada
Julie Nguyen
Julie Nguyen
Chair, Canada-ASEAN Initiatives, York Centre for Asian Research, York University; Director, Canada-Vietnam Trade Council
Elina Noor
Elina Noor
Senior Fellow, Asia Program, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Kai Ostwald
Kai Ostwald
Director, Institute of Asian Research; HSBC Chair and Associate Professor, School of Public Policy & Global Affairs, University of British Columbia
Jeremy Paltiel
Jeremy Paltiel
Senior Fellow, Institute for Peace & Diplomacy; Professor Emeritus, Carleton University
Jeffrey Reeves
Jeffrey Reeves
Senior Washington Fellow, Institute for Peace & Diplomacy; Assistant Professor, Naval Postgraduate School, U.S. Naval War College
Graham Shantz
Graham Shantz
President, Canada China Business Council; Former Director General, North Pacific, Global Affairs Canada
Hugh Stephens
Hugh Stephens
Advisor, Institute for Peace & Diplomacy; Former Assistant Deputy Minister, Policy and Communications, Global Affairs Canada
Yushi Suzuki
Yushi Suzuki
Executive Researcher, Gas Group, Energy Security Unit, Institute of Energy Economics, Japan
Nhu Truong
Nhu Truong
Assistant Professor, Department of Asian Languages and Cultures, University of Wisconsin-Madison
bijan
Bijan Ahmadi
Executive Director, Institute for Peace & Diplomacy

Sponsors & Partners

Presenting Sponsor

About
LNG Canada is a joint venture company comprised of five global energy companies with substantial experience in liquefied natural gas (LNG) — Shell, PETRONAS, PetroChina, Mitsubishi Corporation and KOGAS. Our aim is to provide economic growth to Canada and cleaner energy to the world through the export of reliable, low-emission liquefied natural gas.
Learn More

University Partner

About
The Institute of Asian Research (IAR) was founded in 1978 to be the focal point for Asia-related policy and current affairs as well as interdisciplinary scholarship on contemporary Asia at the University of British Columbia. It aims to build knowledge and networks that support deep understanding of and effective action on a wide range of domestic, regional, and global issues centered on Asia. IAR’s core expertise covers a range of Asia Pacific-relevant policy issues and current affairs, and its affiliated faculty are among the world’s leading experts on contemporary Asia.
Learn More
Interested in sponsorship? Contact info@peacediplomacy.org.
Revisit and learn more about IPD’s previous editions of the Indo-Pacific Strategy Forum below.
Panel 4: Pathways to Manage Non-Proliferation in the Middle East (4:30 PM - 5:45 PM ET)

The Western powers have failed to effectively manage the increasing threat of proliferation in the Middle East. While the international community is concerned with Iran’s nuclear program, Saudi Arabia has moved forward with developing its own nuclear program, and independent studies show that Israel has longed possessed dozens of nuclear warheads. The former is a member of the treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), while the latter has refused to sign the international agreement. 

On Middle East policy, the Biden campaign had staunchly criticized the Trump administration’s unilateral withdrawal from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), more commonly known as the Iran Nuclear Deal and it has begun re-engaging Iran on the nuclear dossier since assuming office in January 2021. However, serious obstacles remain for responsible actors in expanding non-proliferation efforts toward a nuclear-free zone in the Middle East. 

This panel will discuss how Western powers and multilateral institutions, such as the IAEA, can play a more effective role in managing non-proliferation efforts in the Middle East.  

Panelists:

Peggy Mason: Canada’s former Ambassador to the UN for Disarmament

Mark Fitzpatrick: Associate Fellow & Former Executive Director, International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS)

Ali Vaez: Iran Project Director, International Crisis Group

Negar Mortazavi: Journalist and Political Analyst, Host of Iran Podcast

David Albright: Founder and President of the Institute for Science and International Security

 

Closing (5:45 PM – 6:00 PM ET)

Panel 3: Trade and Business Diplomacy in the Middle East (3:00 PM - 4:15 PM ET)

What is the current economic landscape in the Middle East? While global foreign direct investment is expected to fall drastically in the post-COVID era, the World Bank reported a 5% contraction in the economic output of the Middle East and North African (MENA) countries in 2020 due to the pandemic. While oil prices are expected to rebound with normalization in demand, political instability, regional and geopolitical tensions, domestic corruption, and a volatile regulatory and legal environment all threaten economic recovery in the Middle East. What is the prospect for economic growth and development in the region post-pandemic, and how could MENA nations promote sustainable growth and regional trade moving forward?

At the same time, Middle Eastern diaspora communities have become financially successful and can help promote trade between North America and the region. In this respect, the diaspora can become vital intermediaries for advancing U.S. and Canada’s business interests abroad. Promoting business diplomacy can both benefit the MENA region and be an effective and positive way to advance engagement and achieve foreign policy goals of the North Atlantic.

This panel will investigate the trade and investment opportunities in the Middle East, discuss how facilitating economic engagement with the region can benefit Canadian and American national interests, and explore relevant policy prescriptions.

Panelists:

Hon. Sergio Marchi: Canada’s Former Minister of International Trade

Scott Jolliffe: Chairperson, Canada Arab Business Council

Esfandyar Batmanghelidj: Founder and Publisher of Bourse & Bazaar

Nizar Ghanem: Director of Research and Co-founder at Triangle

Nicki Siamaki: Researcher at Control Risks

Panel 2: Arms Race and Terrorism in the Middle East (12:00 PM - 1:15 PM ET)

The Middle East continues to grapple with violence and instability, particularly in Yemen, Syria and Iraq. Fueled by government incompetence and foreign interventions, terrorist insurgencies have imposed severe humanitarian and economic costs on the region. Meanwhile, regional actors have engaged in an unprecedented pursuit of arms accumulation. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have imported billions of both Western and Russian-made weapons and funded militant groups across the region, intending to contain their regional adversaries, particularly Iran. Tehran has also provided sophisticated weaponry to various militia groups across the region to strengthen its geopolitical position against Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Israel. 

On the other hand, with international terrorist networks and intense regional rivalry in the Middle East, it is impractical to discuss peace and security without addressing terrorism and the arms race in the region. This panel will primarily discuss the implications of the ongoing arms race in the region and the role of Western powers and multilateral organizations in facilitating trust-building security arrangements among regional stakeholders to limit the proliferation of arms across the Middle East.

 

Panelists:

Luciano Zaccara: Assistant Professor, Qatar University

Dania Thafer: Executive Director, Gulf International Forum

Kayhan Barzegar: Professor and Chair of the Department of Political Science and International Relations at the Science and Research Branch of Azad University

Barbara Slavin: Director of Iran Initiative, Atlantic Council

Sanam Shantyaei: Senior Journalist at France24 & host of Middle East Matters

Panel 1: Future of Diplomacy and Engagement in the Middle East (10:30 AM-11:45 AM ET)

The emerging regional order in West Asia will have wide-ranging implications for global security. The Biden administration has begun re-engaging Iran on the nuclear dossier, an initiative staunchly opposed by Israel, while also taking a harder line on Saudi Arabia’s intervention in Yemen. Meanwhile, key regional actors, including Qatar, Iraq, and Oman, have engaged in backchannel efforts to bring Iran and Saudi Arabia to the negotiating table. From a broader geopolitical perspective, with the need to secure its energy imports, China is also expected to increase its footprint in the region and influence the mentioned challenges. 

In this evolving landscape, Western powers will be compelled to redefine their strategic priorities and adjust their policies with the new realities in the region. In this panel, we will discuss how the West, including the United States and its allies, can utilize multilateral diplomacy with its adversaries to prevent military escalation in the region. Most importantly, the panel will discuss if a multilateral security dialogue in the Persian Gulf region, proposed by some regional actors, can help reduce tensions among regional foes and produce sustainable peace and development for the region. 

Panelists:

Abdullah Baabood: Academic Researcher and Former Director of the Centre for Gulf Studies, Qatar University

Trita Parsi: Executive Vice-President, Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft

Ebtesam Al-Ketbi: President, Emirates Policy Centre​

Jon Allen: Canada’s Former Ambassador to Israel

Elizabeth Hagedorn: Washington correspondent for Al-Monitor

Panel 4: Humanitarian Diplomacy: An Underused Foreign Policy Tool in the Middle East (4:30 PM - 5:30 PM ET)

Military interventions, political and economic instabilities, and civil unrest in the Middle East have led to a global refugee crisis with an increasing wave of refugees and asylum seekers to Europe and Canada. Moreover, the COVID-19 pandemic has, in myriad ways, exacerbated and contributed to the ongoing security threats and destabilization of the region.

While these challenges pose serious risks to Canadian security, Ottawa will also have the opportunity to limit such risks and prevent a spillover effect vis-à-vis effective humanitarian initiatives in the region. In this panel, we will primarily investigate Canada’s Middle East Strategy’s degree of success in providing humanitarian aid to the region. Secondly, the panel will discuss what programs and initiatives Canada can introduce to further build on the renewed strategy. and more specifically, how Canada can utilize its policy instruments to more effectively deal with the increasing influx of refugees from the Middle East. 

 

Panelists:

Erica Di Ruggiero: Director of Centre for Global Health, University of Toronto

Reyhana Patel: Head of Communications & Government Relations, Islamic Relief Canada

Amir Barmaki: Former Head of UN OCHA in Iran

Catherine Gribbin: Senior Legal Advisor for International and Humanitarian Law, Canadian Red Cross

Panel 3: A Review of Canada’s Middle East Engagement and Defense Strategy (3:00 PM - 4:15 PM ET)

In 2016, Canada launched an ambitious five-year “Middle East Engagement Strategy” (2016-2021), committing to investing CA$3.5 billion over five years to help establish the necessary conditions for security and stability, alleviate human suffering and enable stabilization programs in the region. In the latest development, during the meeting of the Global Coalition against ISIS, Minister of Foreign Affairs Marc Garneau announced more than $43.6 million in Peace and Stabilization Operations Program funding for 11 projects in Syria and Iraq.

With Canada’s Middle East Engagement Strategy expiring this year, it is time to examine and evaluate this massive investment in the Middle East region in the past five years. More importantly, the panel will discuss a principled and strategic roadmap for the future of Canada’s short-term and long-term engagement in the Middle East.

Panelists:

Ferry de Kerckhove: Canada’s Former Ambassador to Egypt

Dennis Horak: Canada’s Former Ambassador to Saudi Arabia

Chris Kilford: Former Canadian Defence Attaché in Turkey, member of the national board of the Canadian International Council (CIC)

David Dewitt: University Professor Emeritus, York University

Panel 2: The Great Power Competition in the Middle East (12:00 PM - 1:15 PM ET)

While the United States continues to pull back from certain regional conflicts, reflected by the Biden administration’s decision to halt American backing for Saudi Arabia’s intervention in Yemen and the expected withdrawal from Afghanistan, US troops continue to be stationed across the region. Meanwhile, Russia and China have significantly maintained and even expanded their regional activities. On one hand, the Kremlin has maintained its military presence in Syria, and on the other hand, China has signed an unprecedented 25-year strategic agreement with Iran.

As the global power structure continues to shift, it is essential to analyze the future of the US regional presence under the Biden administration, explore the emerging global rivalry with Russia and China, and at last, investigate the implications of such competition for peace and security in the Middle East.

Panelists:

Dmitri Trenin: Director of Carnegie Moscow Center

Joost R. Hiltermann: Director of MENA Programme, International Crisis Group

Roxane Farmanfarmaian: Affiliated Lecturer in International Relations of the Middle East and North Africa, University of Cambridge

Andrew A. Michta: Dean of the College of International and Security Studies at Marshall Center

Kelley Vlahos: Senior Advisor, Quincy Institute

Panel 1: A New Middle East Security Architecture in the Making (10:30 AM -11:45 AM ET)

The security architecture of the Middle East has undergone rapid transformations in an exceptionally short period. Notable developments include the United States gradual withdrawal from the region, rapprochement between Israel and some GCC states through the Abraham Accords and the rise of Chinese and Russian regional engagement.

With these new trends in the Middle East, it is timely to investigate the security implications of the Biden administration’s Middle East policy. In this respect, we will discuss the Biden team’s new approach vis-à-vis Iran, Yemen, Saudi Arabia, and Israel. The panel will also discuss the role of other major powers, including China and Russia in shaping this new security environment in the region, and how the Biden administration will respond to these powers’ increasing regional presence.

 

Panelists:

Sanam Vakil: Deputy Director of MENA Programme at Chatham House

Denise Natali: Acting Director, Institute for National Strategic Studies & Director of the Center for Strategic Research, National Defense University

Hassan Ahmadian: Professor of the Middle East and North Africa Studies, University of Tehran

Abdulaziz Sagar: Chairman, Gulf Research Center

Andrew Parasiliti: President, Al-Monitor