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Canada is in Need of a Coherent and Consistent Foreign Policy

Image credit: NATO

By Nizar Mohamad and Alex Moldovan

Amid an international order that faces pressing challenges, Canada must forge its own distinct identity based on a consistently principled approach to international affairs.

2020 has been a turbulent year on the global stage. Its first major event – the assassination of top Iranian general Qassem Soleimani by the US military – set the tone for the year to come. Three days into January, President Donald Trump had effectively shattered the rules of the game in the Middle East and massively escalated tensions in the world’s most volatile geopolitical arena. 

2020 has also given us a US-endorsed Israeli-Palestinian ‘peace deal’ that utterly excludes the Palestinians, underscored by repeated calls for annexation by Israel’s leadership. Conflict and displacement continued unabated in Syria and Yemen, civil unrest intensified in Iraq, and Lebanon entered a new phase of hardship in the wake of the Beirut port explosions. 

In addition, COVID-19 has cost close to a million lives, stalled the global economy, and altered the nature of social relations. The deadly pandemic has also exposed governments across the industrialized world as massively unprepared to respond to a crisis of such proportions. This was exacerbated by a failure in global leadership: As the death toll mounted, President Trump politicized the turmoil by downplaying the seriousness of the virus, blaming China, and boycotting the World Health Organization. In the wake of a novel global calamity, internationally coordinated efforts to fight the virus were undermined so that the Trump administration could evade responsibility to its domestic constituency, feeding xenophobic narratives to energize impressionable right-wing voters. 

Meanwhile, the cries for fair and inclusive citizenship were ignored or repressed globally, including in the US, where Black Lives Matters protests were met with violence by a militarized police force.

Amid an international order that faces pressing challenges, Canada must forge its own distinct identity based on a consistently principled approach to international affairs. On the international stage, its leadership must be active, and its commitment to democratic values must be accompanied by a vocal critique of states that stand out as serial violators. 

Canadian credibility depends on its consistency. But consistency in normative principles should be incorporated into a wider foreign policy based on consistent strategic principles. This will require developing a coherent long-term strategy that synthesizes purpose with realism, including a clear articulation of what it wishes to achieve in the world beyond short-term programmatic endeavours. For example, Canada’s Middle East Engagement Strategy has committed billions in assistance to humanitarian, development, and peace and stabilization projects. This includes its “Feminist Foreign Policy,” which, among other things, oversees Canadian personnel in providing gender training and community-led policing to places like Jordan, Iraq, and the occupied Palestinian Territories. 

But these programs must comprise a means to an end, and not simply represent rosy initiatives detached from a general strategy. They must be part of an overarching framework for a more assertive international presence. Advancing gender equality while largely remaining silent in the face of states that institutionally oppress women, for example, contradicts Canada’s stated foreign policy objectives.  

Similarly, Canada’s official positions must be fair, balanced, and reflect the will of the international community. Criticism of the Palestinian leadership should be met with diplomatic changes towards its relations with Israel, which has openly and intransigently denied Palestinians their right to self-determination for decades. Its condemnation of Iran’s regional adventurism should also be extended to other antagonistic players in the Middle East, which have collectively played an equally destructive role in the neighbourhood since the onset of the 2011 Arab uprisings. 

Additionally, Canada’s stark – albeit, selective – criticism of states that violate human rights is undercut by its profit from the proliferation of weapons sales, especially when the recipients are actively involved in armed conflicts. These actions cannot reasonably coexist with the ostensible Canadian emphasis on export controls

Its selective criticism is further undermined by the selective promotion of democratic values. In 2015, Canada voted against a Russian-sponsored UN resolution aimed at combating neo-Nazism and racism. Though the resolution was clearly a diplomatic maneuver by Moscow intended to target Ukrainian factions opposing its agenda in the country – such as the national guard’s ultra-nationalist Azov Battalion – Canada’s contrarian stance in the conflict effectively entailed shielding fascists.

The Canadian capacity-building mission in Kiev claims to have trained 1,129 National Guardsmen. Unlike the US, however, it does not seem to have developed any comprehensive vetting processes to avoid training Azov members, despite the Department of National Defence’s statement emphasizing the importance of distancing the mission from the battalion. Uniformed Canadian soldiers have also appeared on Azov’s blogs, and sites affiliated with members of Canada’s Ukrainian community have boasted that Canadian Armed Forces (CAF) personnel are training the outfit to meet NATO standards.

In 2017, Canada became a key organizer of the Lima group, a bloc of Latin American states which has sought to oust Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro on the grounds that his regime is authoritarian. However, Canada later ‘supported’ the 2019 coup that overthrew Bolivian President Evo Morales immediately after he had won democratic elections. Ottawa’s position in Latin America and Ukraine showcased a political calculus – not a policy based on consistent moral principles.  

Moreover, its failure to take a strong, independent stance on the Trump administration’s erratic foreign policy decisions puts the CAF in harm’s way while disrupting Canadian interests. For example, Washington’s escalation in Iraq jeopardized the security of Canadian troops, who continue to face a heightened risk of being caught in retaliatory attacks from militias aligned to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. It also complicated Canadian operations in Iraq, as Baghdad’s politicians initially voted to expel all foreign troops. Canada’s military deployment is part of two multinational missions that are crucial in helping the Iraqi Security Forces combat the threat of a Daesh resurgence.   

In addition to jeopardizing its strategic and security interests, Canadian acquiescence to America’s recklessness negatively implicates Ottawa in the eyes of the world. Its failure to publicly challenge US policies leads to a reality in which Canada will be perceived by the international community not as a champion of the norms governing the rules-based international order, but as a junior partner in an alliance of states continually undermined by the unpredictability of US imperatives. In order to project its influence on the world stage, Canada must depart from this duplicitous and incoherent foreign policy to one that is grounded: Respect for diversity and inclusion at home should be matched with an unwavering commitment to international law. This will also require explicitly distancing itself from Washington when it displaces international institutions and acts unilaterally. 

This departure will entail a meaningful reassessment of Canada’s foreign policy priorities. In an increasingly leaderless global arena, Canada could gain to diversify away from its political-security relationship with the US and embrace a pivot towards its EU and NATO partners. This will be a challenging task, given their levels of economic and defence integration. However, it is one that is necessary. So long as Canada remains on its current path, it will be seen as an enabler of a paradigm of American rejectionism. Canada’s global image – built on decades of devotion to peacekeeping, multilateralism, and moderation – will lose its aggregated value as an instrument of soft power capable of facilitating Canadian partnerships. Canada risks losing its most marketable competitive advantage – its reputation. As a middle power in a system undergoing a shift towards multipolarity, it needs all the instruments at its disposal.

Canada’s public opposition to the illegal 2003 Iraq War bolstered Canadian credibility globally. It is time for Canada to reclaim that legacy. A commitment to sovereignty, human rights, and the rule of law is the foundation of our global system. But it is also crucial to Canadian branding. Consistency is key to Canadian foreign policy.


Nizar Mohamad is a Middle East analyst based in Toronto, Canada, who specializes in Syrian politics and security. His work has appeared in TRT World, The New Arab, and Mondoweiss. He is also co-authoring a chapter in a forthcoming book on Canadian foreign policy in the Middle East.

Alex Moldovan is a Ph.D. student in political science at York University. Though formerly focused on South-South development finance, his current research examines equity-seeking social movements and defensive violence, particularly in Latin America. His work can be found in Globalizations and OpeDemocracy.

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Panel 4: Pathways to Manage Non-Proliferation in the Middle East (4:30 PM - 5:45 PM ET)

The Western powers have failed to effectively manage the increasing threat of proliferation in the Middle East. While the international community is concerned with Iran’s nuclear program, Saudi Arabia has moved forward with developing its own nuclear program, and independent studies show that Israel has longed possessed dozens of nuclear warheads. The former is a member of the treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), while the latter has refused to sign the international agreement. 

On Middle East policy, the Biden campaign had staunchly criticized the Trump administration’s unilateral withdrawal from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), more commonly known as the Iran Nuclear Deal and it has begun re-engaging Iran on the nuclear dossier since assuming office in January 2021. However, serious obstacles remain for responsible actors in expanding non-proliferation efforts toward a nuclear-free zone in the Middle East. 

This panel will discuss how Western powers and multilateral institutions, such as the IAEA, can play a more effective role in managing non-proliferation efforts in the Middle East.  

Panelists:

Peggy Mason: Canada’s former Ambassador to the UN for Disarmament

Mark Fitzpatrick: Associate Fellow & Former Executive Director, International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS)

Ali Vaez: Iran Project Director, International Crisis Group

Negar Mortazavi: Journalist and Political Analyst, Host of Iran Podcast

David Albright: Founder and President of the Institute for Science and International Security

 

Closing (5:45 PM – 6:00 PM ET)

Panel 3: Trade and Business Diplomacy in the Middle East (3:00 PM - 4:15 PM ET)

What is the current economic landscape in the Middle East? While global foreign direct investment is expected to fall drastically in the post-COVID era, the World Bank reported a 5% contraction in the economic output of the Middle East and North African (MENA) countries in 2020 due to the pandemic. While oil prices are expected to rebound with normalization in demand, political instability, regional and geopolitical tensions, domestic corruption, and a volatile regulatory and legal environment all threaten economic recovery in the Middle East. What is the prospect for economic growth and development in the region post-pandemic, and how could MENA nations promote sustainable growth and regional trade moving forward?

At the same time, Middle Eastern diaspora communities have become financially successful and can help promote trade between North America and the region. In this respect, the diaspora can become vital intermediaries for advancing U.S. and Canada’s business interests abroad. Promoting business diplomacy can both benefit the MENA region and be an effective and positive way to advance engagement and achieve foreign policy goals of the North Atlantic.

This panel will investigate the trade and investment opportunities in the Middle East, discuss how facilitating economic engagement with the region can benefit Canadian and American national interests, and explore relevant policy prescriptions.

Panelists:

Hon. Sergio Marchi: Canada’s Former Minister of International Trade

Scott Jolliffe: Chairperson, Canada Arab Business Council

Esfandyar Batmanghelidj: Founder and Publisher of Bourse & Bazaar

Nizar Ghanem: Director of Research and Co-founder at Triangle

Nicki Siamaki: Researcher at Control Risks

Panel 2: Arms Race and Terrorism in the Middle East (12:00 PM - 1:15 PM ET)

The Middle East continues to grapple with violence and instability, particularly in Yemen, Syria and Iraq. Fueled by government incompetence and foreign interventions, terrorist insurgencies have imposed severe humanitarian and economic costs on the region. Meanwhile, regional actors have engaged in an unprecedented pursuit of arms accumulation. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have imported billions of both Western and Russian-made weapons and funded militant groups across the region, intending to contain their regional adversaries, particularly Iran. Tehran has also provided sophisticated weaponry to various militia groups across the region to strengthen its geopolitical position against Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Israel. 

On the other hand, with international terrorist networks and intense regional rivalry in the Middle East, it is impractical to discuss peace and security without addressing terrorism and the arms race in the region. This panel will primarily discuss the implications of the ongoing arms race in the region and the role of Western powers and multilateral organizations in facilitating trust-building security arrangements among regional stakeholders to limit the proliferation of arms across the Middle East.

 

Panelists:

Luciano Zaccara: Assistant Professor, Qatar University

Dania Thafer: Executive Director, Gulf International Forum

Kayhan Barzegar: Professor and Chair of the Department of Political Science and International Relations at the Science and Research Branch of Azad University

Barbara Slavin: Director of Iran Initiative, Atlantic Council

Sanam Shantyaei: Senior Journalist at France24 & host of Middle East Matters

Panel 1: Future of Diplomacy and Engagement in the Middle East (10:30 AM-11:45 AM ET)

The emerging regional order in West Asia will have wide-ranging implications for global security. The Biden administration has begun re-engaging Iran on the nuclear dossier, an initiative staunchly opposed by Israel, while also taking a harder line on Saudi Arabia’s intervention in Yemen. Meanwhile, key regional actors, including Qatar, Iraq, and Oman, have engaged in backchannel efforts to bring Iran and Saudi Arabia to the negotiating table. From a broader geopolitical perspective, with the need to secure its energy imports, China is also expected to increase its footprint in the region and influence the mentioned challenges. 

In this evolving landscape, Western powers will be compelled to redefine their strategic priorities and adjust their policies with the new realities in the region. In this panel, we will discuss how the West, including the United States and its allies, can utilize multilateral diplomacy with its adversaries to prevent military escalation in the region. Most importantly, the panel will discuss if a multilateral security dialogue in the Persian Gulf region, proposed by some regional actors, can help reduce tensions among regional foes and produce sustainable peace and development for the region. 

Panelists:

Abdullah Baabood: Academic Researcher and Former Director of the Centre for Gulf Studies, Qatar University

Trita Parsi: Executive Vice-President, Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft

Ebtesam Al-Ketbi: President, Emirates Policy Centre​

Jon Allen: Canada’s Former Ambassador to Israel

Elizabeth Hagedorn: Washington correspondent for Al-Monitor

Panel 4: Humanitarian Diplomacy: An Underused Foreign Policy Tool in the Middle East (4:30 PM - 5:30 PM ET)

Military interventions, political and economic instabilities, and civil unrest in the Middle East have led to a global refugee crisis with an increasing wave of refugees and asylum seekers to Europe and Canada. Moreover, the COVID-19 pandemic has, in myriad ways, exacerbated and contributed to the ongoing security threats and destabilization of the region.

While these challenges pose serious risks to Canadian security, Ottawa will also have the opportunity to limit such risks and prevent a spillover effect vis-à-vis effective humanitarian initiatives in the region. In this panel, we will primarily investigate Canada’s Middle East Strategy’s degree of success in providing humanitarian aid to the region. Secondly, the panel will discuss what programs and initiatives Canada can introduce to further build on the renewed strategy. and more specifically, how Canada can utilize its policy instruments to more effectively deal with the increasing influx of refugees from the Middle East. 

 

Panelists:

Erica Di Ruggiero: Director of Centre for Global Health, University of Toronto

Reyhana Patel: Head of Communications & Government Relations, Islamic Relief Canada

Amir Barmaki: Former Head of UN OCHA in Iran

Catherine Gribbin: Senior Legal Advisor for International and Humanitarian Law, Canadian Red Cross

Panel 3: A Review of Canada’s Middle East Engagement and Defense Strategy (3:00 PM - 4:15 PM ET)

In 2016, Canada launched an ambitious five-year “Middle East Engagement Strategy” (2016-2021), committing to investing CA$3.5 billion over five years to help establish the necessary conditions for security and stability, alleviate human suffering and enable stabilization programs in the region. In the latest development, during the meeting of the Global Coalition against ISIS, Minister of Foreign Affairs Marc Garneau announced more than $43.6 million in Peace and Stabilization Operations Program funding for 11 projects in Syria and Iraq.

With Canada’s Middle East Engagement Strategy expiring this year, it is time to examine and evaluate this massive investment in the Middle East region in the past five years. More importantly, the panel will discuss a principled and strategic roadmap for the future of Canada’s short-term and long-term engagement in the Middle East.

Panelists:

Ferry de Kerckhove: Canada’s Former Ambassador to Egypt

Dennis Horak: Canada’s Former Ambassador to Saudi Arabia

Chris Kilford: Former Canadian Defence Attaché in Turkey, member of the national board of the Canadian International Council (CIC)

David Dewitt: University Professor Emeritus, York University

Panel 2: The Great Power Competition in the Middle East (12:00 PM - 1:15 PM ET)

While the United States continues to pull back from certain regional conflicts, reflected by the Biden administration’s decision to halt American backing for Saudi Arabia’s intervention in Yemen and the expected withdrawal from Afghanistan, US troops continue to be stationed across the region. Meanwhile, Russia and China have significantly maintained and even expanded their regional activities. On one hand, the Kremlin has maintained its military presence in Syria, and on the other hand, China has signed an unprecedented 25-year strategic agreement with Iran.

As the global power structure continues to shift, it is essential to analyze the future of the US regional presence under the Biden administration, explore the emerging global rivalry with Russia and China, and at last, investigate the implications of such competition for peace and security in the Middle East.

Panelists:

Dmitri Trenin: Director of Carnegie Moscow Center

Joost R. Hiltermann: Director of MENA Programme, International Crisis Group

Roxane Farmanfarmaian: Affiliated Lecturer in International Relations of the Middle East and North Africa, University of Cambridge

Andrew A. Michta: Dean of the College of International and Security Studies at Marshall Center

Kelley Vlahos: Senior Advisor, Quincy Institute

Panel 1: A New Middle East Security Architecture in the Making (10:30 AM -11:45 AM ET)

The security architecture of the Middle East has undergone rapid transformations in an exceptionally short period. Notable developments include the United States gradual withdrawal from the region, rapprochement between Israel and some GCC states through the Abraham Accords and the rise of Chinese and Russian regional engagement.

With these new trends in the Middle East, it is timely to investigate the security implications of the Biden administration’s Middle East policy. In this respect, we will discuss the Biden team’s new approach vis-à-vis Iran, Yemen, Saudi Arabia, and Israel. The panel will also discuss the role of other major powers, including China and Russia in shaping this new security environment in the region, and how the Biden administration will respond to these powers’ increasing regional presence.

 

Panelists:

Sanam Vakil: Deputy Director of MENA Programme at Chatham House

Denise Natali: Acting Director, Institute for National Strategic Studies & Director of the Center for Strategic Research, National Defense University

Hassan Ahmadian: Professor of the Middle East and North Africa Studies, University of Tehran

Abdulaziz Sagar: Chairman, Gulf Research Center

Andrew Parasiliti: President, Al-Monitor